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Red147
293053.2
491815.3
945053.1
Blue121
131842.6
292916.1
944252.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301126080100120140160180200147121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +5
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
77Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#5
6L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
147Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.6
52.753.3
Auto12.8
Teleop30.2
End10.2
red by 0.4
9442
#12
52.80.3
50.851.1
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
Second
53.10.6
52.653.2
Auto13.5
Teleop30.6
End9.0
red by 10.5
42.60.3
40.741.0
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
Third
4918
#18
15.30.6
14.815.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.6
End0.5
blue by 0.8
2929
#33
16.10.3
14.214.5
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1