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Red126
131842.6
292916.1
944252.8
Blue97
451219.4
36047.1
252238.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141119010012013014012697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
24Processor points6
28Net points8
52Algae points14
99Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
126Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#12
52.80.4
51.551.9
Auto8.4
Teleop42.7
End1.6
red by 5.7
360
#7
47.10.2
47.347.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.3
End3.8
Second
42.60.4
41.441.8
Auto6.7
Teleop30.2
End5.8
red by 3.8
38.80.2
39.038.8
Auto13.7
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Third
2929
#33
16.10.4
14.915.3
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End1.1
blue by 3.3
4512
#31
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End2.7