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Red74
241274.4
99953.5
99979.0
Blue112
367468.7
448827.8
646527.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9616505015020025030074112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
45Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
74Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.41.1
61.860.7
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
red by 5.7
68.72.2
73.170.9
Auto18.5
Teleop39.9
End10.3
Second
9997
#24
9.01.9
14.612.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
blue by 18.8
4488
#11
27.82.2
36.634.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
Third
9995
#25
3.51.9
14.412.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 23.8
6465
#23
27.32.2
35.833.5
Auto2.3
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned