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Red146
999427.6
363655.3
281154.0
Blue58
142550.2
154034.6
99929.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710905015020014658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+96Teleop
+82Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +89
26Coral scored#6
95Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
115Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#3
13L3#2
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
6Foul points0
146Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#13
55.31.3
52.854.1
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
red by 5.1
50.23.9
53.649.7
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2
Second
2811
#10
54.01.3
52.453.7
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
red by 19.3
1540
#14
34.63.9
45.741.9
Auto4.2
Teleop24.7
End5.7
Third
9994
#17
27.62.1
7.69.7
Auto2.4
Teleop20.9
End4.4
red by 18.3
9992
#18
9.36.4
7.61.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned