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Red83
646535.2
412521.6
49233.9
Blue93
95548.2
762741.8
159519.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68111204060801001201401608393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
68Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#5
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
2Foul points0
83Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6465
#15
35.20.7
24.825.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
blue by 13.0
955
#10
48.20.5
51.551.0
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
Second
492
#25
33.90.7
31.131.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
blue by 8.0
41.80.5
26.125.6
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
Third
4125
#28
21.60.7
14.215.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
red by 2.3
1595
#33
19.30.8
22.621.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed