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Red88
498027.8
299033.4
381216.5
Blue121
1042323.4
131853.4
634342.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681082040608010012014016018088121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
55Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
2L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points12
88Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#16
33.41.2
32.834.0
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
blue by 20.0
53.40.8
46.847.6
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
Second
4980
#22
27.81.2
21.022.2
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.3
blue by 14.2
6343
#13
42.00.8
32.533.2
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Third
3812
#27
16.51.2
10.311.5
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 6.9
23.41.3
13.214.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned