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Red129
413129.3
406137.7
469226.8
Blue120
592038.0
853218.2
607616.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8765204080100120140129120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
17Coral scored#22
61Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
103Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
129Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#12
37.71.6
29.531.1
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
blue by 0.3
38.01.9
25.026.8
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Second
29.31.6
21.623.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 11.1
8532
#17
18.21.9
19.020.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
Third
4692
#30
26.81.6
20.822.4
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
red by 10.0
6076
#26
16.71.9
13.014.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed