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Red85
451347.8
382623.8
529516.5
Blue79
961318.4
371211.9
214744.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078140601001201401601808579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+14
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
49Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
85Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.8
36.035.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
red by 3.1
2147
#19
44.70.1
40.140.1
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
Second
3826
#21
23.80.8
30.329.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
red by 5.4
9613
#29
18.40.1
14.514.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Third
5295
#20
16.51.4
23.021.6
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
red by 4.6
3712
#32
11.90.1
16.816.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed