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Red65
159519.3
1041631.7
406020.4
Blue68
412521.6
1042323.4
292630.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8055020401001201406568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
65Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.3
24.023.7
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 1.2
2926
#18
30.61.1
22.023.1
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Second
4060
#24
20.40.3
23.122.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
blue by 3.0
23.41.8
14.416.3
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
1595
#33
19.30.4
21.821.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 2.3
4125
#28
21.61.1
15.016.1
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed