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Red128
299033.4
413129.3
95548.2
Blue113
592038.0
381216.5
382623.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1297550100150200128113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points53
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
90Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
128Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
48.20.7
50.549.8
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
red by 10.2
38.01.0
26.827.8
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Second
2990
#16
33.40.7
34.033.3
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 9.6
3826
#21
23.81.0
29.530.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
Third
29.30.7
23.222.5
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 12.9
3812
#27
16.51.0
11.012.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed