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Red59
131853.4
159519.3
49233.9
Blue78
292630.6
451347.8
968019.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147640601001401601805978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
59Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.42.9
47.644.7
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
red by 5.6
47.80.0
35.135.2
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
Second
492
#25
33.92.9
33.730.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
red by 3.3
2926
#18
30.60.0
23.123.1
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
Third
1595
#33
19.34.8
21.416.5
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
blue by 0.6
9680
#23
19.80.0
19.219.2
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned