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Red82
74930.3
406137.7
961318.4
Blue94
529516.5
945065.6
406020.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412140601001401601802008294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points16
21Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
59Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
82Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#12
37.70.9
31.132.0
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
blue by 27.9
65.60.6
59.258.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
Second
749
#14
30.30.9
22.623.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 9.9
4060
#24
20.40.6
22.922.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
Third
9613
#29
18.40.9
14.415.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 2.0
5295
#20
16.51.1
21.620.5
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned