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Red132
634342.0
968019.8
413129.3
Blue125
95548.2
961318.4
1042323.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98102050150200132125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
19Coral scored#20
67Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
101Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#12
5L3#4
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
132Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#13
42.01.5
37.338.9
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
blue by 6.2
955
#10
48.21.3
45.246.5
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
Second
29.31.5
25.827.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
red by 5.9
23.42.0
21.623.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
Third
9680
#23
19.81.5
18.920.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
red by 1.4
9613
#29
18.41.3
17.118.4
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed