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Red158
293059.0
412521.6
131853.4
Blue106
406137.7
371211.9
646535.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1287650100150200158106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+46Teleop
+58Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
22Coral scored#18
80Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
98Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#4
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points6
158Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.02.2
55.457.6
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 21.3
4061
#12
37.70.7
34.635.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Second
53.42.2
46.648.8
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
red by 18.2
6465
#15
35.20.7
31.031.7
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
Third
4125
#28
21.62.2
13.715.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
red by 9.7
3712
#32
11.90.7
12.112.8
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed