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Red122
529516.5
214744.7
131853.4
Blue114
95548.2
49233.9
281143.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091256080100140160122114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
11Coral points19
20Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
88Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points12
122Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.41.5
42.644.1
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
red by 5.2
955
#10
48.20.8
52.351.5
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
Second
2147
#19
44.71.5
36.638.1
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 1.3
43.40.8
30.329.5
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Third
5295
#20
16.52.5
20.122.6
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 17.4
492
#25
33.90.8
31.931.1
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed