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Red32
406020.4
387611.2
634342.0
Blue97
762741.8
451347.8
1041631.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84942040601201401603297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+55
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +42
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
14Total teleop56
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
32Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#13
42.03.1
35.532.5
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
blue by 5.8
47.80.8
36.637.4
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
Second
4060
#24
20.43.1
25.021.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
blue by 21.4
41.80.8
25.326.1
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
Third
3876
#34
11.25.1
17.412.3
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 20.5
31.70.8
23.224.0
Auto5.2
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned