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Red118
74930.3
529516.5
762741.8
Blue114
646535.2
159519.3
413129.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981076080120140160118114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+12Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
91Total teleop90
Reef
11L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
118Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.9
38.739.6
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
red by 6.6
6465
#15
35.20.1
37.337.4
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
Second
749
#14
30.30.9
28.529.4
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 1.0
29.30.1
28.628.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Third
5295
#20
16.51.1
16.317.4
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
blue by 2.8
1595
#33
19.30.1
20.220.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed