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Red151
131853.4
592038.0
498027.8
Blue70
961318.4
412521.6
387611.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13944010015020015170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+85Teleop
+83Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
21Coral scored#10
76Coral points35
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
24Processor points6
24Net points12
48Algae points18
124Total teleop53
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points2
151Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.41.2
49.750.9
Auto12.2
Teleop36.3
End5.0
red by 31.9
4125
#28
21.60.2
18.919.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
Second
38.01.2
35.937.1
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
red by 19.5
9613
#29
18.40.2
16.716.9
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Third
4980
#22
27.81.2
28.329.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 16.6
3876
#34
11.20.2
9.810.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed