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Red65
853218.2
1042323.4
406137.7
Blue164
299033.4
281143.4
451347.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971515020065164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+91
Endgame+99
Fouls+99
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +74
7Coral scored#24
24Coral points88
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
48Total teleop122
Reef
3L4#11
3L3#7
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +99
2Foul points2
65Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#12
37.72.4
39.236.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
blue by 10.1
47.81.6
44.546.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
Second
23.42.9
25.122.1
Auto4.6
Teleop16.9
End1.8
blue by 20.0
43.41.6
42.744.3
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Third
8532
#17
18.22.4
18.416.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
blue by 15.2
2990
#16
33.41.6
33.735.3
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned