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Red54
381216.5
406020.4
292630.6
Blue87
371211.9
49233.9
634342.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861022040601201401605487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
3Coral scored#12
12Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
20Total teleop67
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
18Foul points0
54Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2926
#18
30.62.6
32.129.5
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2
blue by 11.5
6343
#13
42.00.2
40.540.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Second
4060
#24
20.42.6
24.321.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
blue by 13.5
492
#25
33.90.2
31.331.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End0.8
Third
3812
#27
16.52.6
18.015.4
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End2.2
red by 4.6
3712
#32
11.90.2
12.512.7
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed