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Red142
451347.8
853218.2
214744.7
Blue101
413129.3
469226.8
762741.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13812350100150200142101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+5
+15Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
64Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +41
26Foul points0
142Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.1
47.948.0
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
red by 6.0
41.80.1
41.741.8
Auto11.2
Teleop27.7
End2.9
Second
2147
#19
44.70.1
44.844.9
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 15.4
29.30.1
29.229.3
Auto5.0
Teleop17.4
End7.0
Third
8532
#17
18.20.1
18.318.4
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
blue by 8.6
4692
#30
26.80.1
26.726.8
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5