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Red107
382623.8
281143.4
95548.2
Blue100
292630.6
406137.7
592038.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13712550100150200107100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
33Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#17
42Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
60Total teleop79
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
107Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#10
48.20.3
48.648.3
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
red by 10.2
38.00.2
38.238.0
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Second
43.40.3
43.743.5
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
red by 5.7
4061
#12
37.70.2
37.937.7
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Third
3826
#21
23.80.3
24.223.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5
blue by 6.8
2926
#18
30.60.2
30.830.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2