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Red184
451347.8
853218.2
214744.7
Blue113
292630.6
406137.7
592038.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612580100140160180184113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
23Coral scored#20
82Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
120Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +30
36Cage & park6
36Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points6
184Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.2
46.747.9
Auto5.1
Teleop31.9
End10.8
red by 9.9
38.00.1
37.737.6
Auto5.7
Teleop31.1
End1.2
Second
2147
#19
44.71.2
43.544.8
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
red by 7.0
4061
#12
37.70.1
37.437.3
Auto6.1
Teleop29.4
End2.2
Third
8532
#17
18.21.2
17.018.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End6.8
blue by 12.4
2926
#18
30.60.1
30.330.1
Auto5.5
Teleop22.9
End2.2