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Red162
293059.0
74930.3
945065.6
Blue135
382623.8
281143.4
95548.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17512650100150200162135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
10Coral scored#8
50Coral points38
50Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +26
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
6Processor points18
16Net points8
22Algae points26
96Total teleop70
Reef
12L4#9
8L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
162Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.3
64.164.4
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 17.4
955
#10
48.20.4
48.248.6
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
Second
59.00.3
57.557.8
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 15.6
43.40.4
43.443.7
Auto9.0
Teleop26.8
End7.6
Third
749
#14
30.30.3
28.929.1
Auto6.4
Teleop19.6
End4.4
red by 6.5
3826
#21
23.80.4
23.824.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.6
End4.5