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Red46
964415.9
172916.8
490926.0
Blue81
16623.8
176827.4
872416.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78752040601001204681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
26Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
46Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.4
26.524.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.6
End1.9
blue by 1.3
27.41.2
25.126.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.8
Second
1729
#12
16.82.4
21.218.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 7.0
166
#2
23.81.2
24.025.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
9644
#16
15.92.4
20.017.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 0.1
8724
#11
16.01.2
21.122.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned