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Red66
111918.0
19030.0
23812.9
Blue55
271325.5
5018.4
115326.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70860501502002503006655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
49Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points4
66Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#3
30.01.2
21.920.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End4.3
red by 3.0
26.93.8
28.524.8
Auto4.2
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
1119
#13
18.01.2
20.319.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End1.0
blue by 7.5
25.53.8
32.228.5
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Third
238
#23
12.91.2
20.619.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End1.0
red by 4.5
501
#29
8.43.8
13.69.8
Auto1.2
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned