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Red13
208412.2
107314.4
47617.5
Blue32
8119.6
545911.5
568723.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578201001502002503001332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +22
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
3Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
5Foul points0
13Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#26
14.45.0
20.515.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 8.5
5687
#17
23.04.2
35.231.0
Auto4.0
Teleop16.2
End2.8
Second
2084
#20
12.25.0
17.512.6
Auto1.3
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 0.8
5459
#28
11.54.2
18.614.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
4761
#27
7.55.0
14.69.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.2
blue by 2.2
811
#15
9.64.2
16.111.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed