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Red17
17218.2
964415.9
24614.3
Blue33
54949.0
105821.0
856717.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637501001502002503003504001733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +18
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
12Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
17Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
15.94.6
24.620.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.0
End1.2
blue by 5.1
21.03.6
26.222.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.0
Second
246
#19
14.34.6
18.513.9
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End1.6
blue by 2.8
17.13.6
21.317.7
Auto2.4
Teleop13.3
End1.3
Third
1721
#25
8.24.6
14.910.4
Auto1.7
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 0.8
5494
#24
9.03.6
17.914.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed