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Red23
234217.3
490510.5
176827.4
Blue50
50910.8
287734.0
16623.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8887204060801001201402350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
1Coral points6
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#5
11Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
11Total teleop28
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
23Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.46.0
31.125.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.8
blue by 6.6
34.02.9
29.126.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End5.3
Second
2342
#10
17.36.0
22.917.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.1
blue by 6.5
166
#2
23.82.9
26.924.0
Auto4.1
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Third
4905
#22
10.56.0
22.816.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.6
blue by 0.3
509
#18
10.82.9
20.217.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned