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Red31
581320.6
970.3
8826.5
Blue58
490926.0
271325.5
542220.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899702003004003158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+46
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +39
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
4Total teleop43
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
19Foul points0
31Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#14
26.57.5
36.328.8
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
red by 0.4
26.02.9
29.426.5
Auto5.5
Teleop18.6
End1.9
Second
5813
#30
20.67.5
33.526.0
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End2.7
blue by 5.0
25.52.9
35.132.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Third
97
#31
0.37.5
9.82.3
Auto0.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.3
blue by 20.1
5422
#21
20.42.9
19.716.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed