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Red20
872416.0
8119.6
172916.8
Blue11
545911.5
24614.3
5018.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90810501001502011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +9
3Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
13Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
20Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#12
16.86.4
27.621.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 2.5
246
#19
14.36.9
25.418.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End1.6
Second
8724
#11
16.06.4
27.621.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End2.1
red by 4.6
5459
#28
11.56.9
25.518.6
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
811
#15
9.66.4
22.516.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.6
End1.1
red by 1.2
501
#29
8.46.9
20.513.6
Auto1.2
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed