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Red30
115326.9
17218.2
54949.0
Blue36
490510.5
16623.8
107314.4
47%Model gave it53%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610102003004005003036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
26Total teleop18
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
30Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.95.2
33.828.5
Auto4.2
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 3.1
166
#2
23.85.7
32.726.9
Auto4.1
Teleop15.1
End4.7
Second
5494
#24
9.05.2
23.117.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 5.5
1073
#26
14.45.7
26.220.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
1721
#25
8.25.2
20.114.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.3
End1.2
blue by 2.3
4905
#22
10.55.7
28.522.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed