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Red74
19030.0
568723.0
581320.6
Blue78
8826.5
234217.3
964415.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118102501502007478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#15
33Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
43Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
4Foul points5
74Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#3
30.03.9
25.821.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End4.3
red by 3.5
88
#14
26.52.3
38.736.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Second
5687
#17
23.03.9
39.135.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.2
End2.8
red by 5.6
2342
#10
17.32.3
25.322.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.1
Third
5813
#30
20.63.9
37.333.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 4.7
9644
#16
15.92.3
26.924.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed