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Red68
105821.0
111918.0
271325.5
Blue23
568723.0
872416.0
490510.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8079305060706823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +41
11Coral scored#3
39Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
57Total teleop16
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points4
68Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.2
28.527.2
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End3.0
red by 2.6
5687
#17
23.06.4
31.024.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.2
End2.8
Second
21.01.2
22.621.3
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.0
red by 5.0
8724
#11
16.06.4
22.316.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End2.1
Third
1119
#13
18.01.2
19.117.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End1.0
red by 7.5
4905
#22
10.56.4
16.910.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed