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Red8
23812.9
581320.6
50910.8
Blue19
172916.8
47617.5
17218.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75420100150200819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop6
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
4Foul points0
8Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#30
20.66.5
26.019.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 3.8
1729
#12
16.82.2
18.816.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Second
238
#23
12.96.5
19.412.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End1.0
red by 4.8
1721
#25
8.22.2
10.48.2
Auto1.7
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
509
#18
10.86.5
17.310.8
Auto1.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 3.4
4761
#27
7.52.2
9.77.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed