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Red116
19030.0
287734.0
542220.4
Blue39
172916.8
545911.5
111918.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7649010015011639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+66Teleop
+90Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#3
45Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
67Total teleop15
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#5
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +77
2Foul points15
116Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.8
27.229.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 15.9
1119
#13
18.00.8
17.817.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.9
End1.0
Second
190
#3
30.01.8
23.225.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End4.3
red by 13.2
1729
#12
16.80.8
16.615.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
5422
#21
20.41.8
13.715.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 9.0
5459
#28
11.50.8
11.310.5
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End1.3