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Red74
115326.9
105821.0
8119.6
Blue49
568723.0
271325.5
964415.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638001001502002503007449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
+25Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +25
26Foul points0
74Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.5
27.326.8
Auto4.2
Teleop18.6
End4.1
red by 1.4
25.50.9
27.226.4
Auto4.6
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
21.00.5
21.320.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.0
blue by 2.0
5687
#17
23.00.9
24.723.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.2
End2.8
Third
811
#15
9.60.5
10.09.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.6
End1.1
blue by 6.3
9644
#16
15.90.9
17.616.7
Auto2.7
Teleop12.0
End1.2