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Red49
872416.0
50910.8
23812.9
Blue58
24614.3
234217.3
8826.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416301001502004958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
Fouls+9
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
37Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points10
49Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8724
#11
16.00.4
15.616.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 10.5
88
#14
26.50.2
25.225.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.2
End2.0
Second
238
#23
12.90.4
12.512.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.4
End1.0
blue by 4.4
2342
#10
17.30.2
16.115.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.1
Third
509
#18
10.80.4
10.410.8
Auto1.1
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 3.5
246
#19
14.30.2
13.112.8
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End1.6