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Red113
19030.0
287734.0
542220.4
Blue52
115326.9
105821.0
8119.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78600204010012014016011352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
68Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +61
5Foul points5
113Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.4
29.030.5
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End5.3
red by 7.0
26.90.4
26.826.4
Auto4.2
Teleop18.6
End4.1
Second
190
#3
30.01.4
25.026.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.6
End4.3
red by 9.0
21.00.4
20.820.5
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.0
Third
5422
#21
20.41.4
15.517.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 10.8
811
#15
9.60.4
9.59.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.6
End1.1