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Red78
16623.8
490926.0
107314.4
Blue60
208412.2
176827.4
581320.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646002040801007860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#10
30Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
44Total teleop55
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
78Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.7
24.325.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.6
End1.9
blue by 1.3
27.40.1
26.526.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.8
Second
166
#2
23.80.7
22.122.8
Auto4.1
Teleop15.1
End4.7
red by 3.3
5813
#30
20.60.1
19.619.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Third
1073
#26
14.40.7
12.713.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.4
End2.4
red by 2.2
2084
#20
12.20.1
11.311.4
Auto1.3
Teleop10.4
End0.6