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Red95
179240.8
93038.8
1026419.9
Blue105
957653.0
253124.1
206225.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10912505015020025030095105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
46Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points8
95Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.80.5
40.039.5
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
blue by 12.3
53.00.9
55.955.0
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
Second
930
#4
38.80.5
42.441.9
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 13.7
25.10.9
27.526.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
Third
19.90.5
20.219.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 4.2
24.10.9
27.326.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned