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Red72
999013.7
999418.4
582629.2
Blue113
999113.8
214344.2
179240.8
21%Model gave it79%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510805015020072113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+39
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points45
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
52Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#6
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
72Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#15
29.20.4
30.330.7
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
blue by 15.0
44.21.2
42.743.9
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
Second
18.40.6
19.219.9
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
blue by 22.4
40.81.2
39.540.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
Third
9990
#10
13.70.6
16.417.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Level
13.81.8
13.415.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed