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Red118
957653.0
874462.1
638122.7
Blue62
99969.9
93038.8
999918.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16753010015020025011862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+54Teleop
+50Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +47
16Coral scored#6
59Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
77Total teleop30
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
6Foul points0
118Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.12.2
64.262.0
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
red by 23.3
930
#4
38.80.9
41.941.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
Second
53.02.2
55.052.8
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
red by 34.6
9999
#14
18.41.3
19.518.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
Third
6381
#13
22.72.2
25.923.7
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
red by 12.8
9996
#11
9.91.3
13.512.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned