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Red3
179240.8
874462.1
999918.4
Blue0
997812.2
997712.2
997212.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13048010015020025030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
3Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.12.6
62.059.3
Auto12.8
Teleop47.8
End1.5
red by 50.0
9972
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
Second
40.82.6
40.638.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
red by 28.6
9977
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
Third
9999
#14
18.43.8
18.214.4
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
red by 6.2
9978
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1