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Red97
582629.2
99969.9
206225.1
Blue63
638122.7
999418.4
999113.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79620501001509763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
70Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
97Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5826
#15
29.20.6
30.731.3
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 6.4
6381
#13
22.70.1
23.723.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Second
25.10.6
26.627.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 6.7
18.40.1
19.920.0
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
9996
#11
9.90.9
12.113.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
blue by 3.9
13.80.1
15.215.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5