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Red3
957653.0
214344.2
1026419.9
Blue0
997512.2
997412.2
997612.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14055010015020030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
3Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.02.5
52.850.3
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
red by 40.9
9974
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
Second
44.22.5
43.941.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
red by 32.0
9975
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
Third
19.92.5
19.617.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 7.7
9976
Unranked
12.21.7
15.413.7
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1