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Red3
253124.1
93038.8
999013.7
Blue0
997110.9
997010.9
997310.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions983705015020025030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
3Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
38.81.8
41.139.2
Auto10.0
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 27.9
9970
Unranked
10.91.7
15.413.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
24.11.8
26.424.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
red by 13.2
9971
Unranked
10.91.7
15.413.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Third
9990
#10
13.72.6
17.014.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.3
End1.8
red by 2.8
9973
Unranked
10.91.7
15.413.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.0