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Red0
997812.2
997712.2
997212.2
Blue3
638122.7
999418.4
999113.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526702040608010012014003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
0Total score3

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9972
Unranked
12.21.5
13.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
blue by 10.5
6381
#13
22.71.2
23.822.6
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Second
9977
Unranked
12.21.5
13.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
blue by 6.2
18.41.8
20.018.2
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Third
9978
Unranked
12.21.5
13.712.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End1.1
blue by 1.6
13.81.8
15.313.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5