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Red54
582629.2
999918.4
179240.8
Blue56
253124.1
99969.9
999113.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94580501505456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
40Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
54Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.82.5
40.838.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.5
End3.5
red by 16.7
24.10.1
26.326.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End1.7
Second
5826
#15
29.22.5
34.632.1
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 15.4
13.80.1
16.016.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Third
9999
#14
18.44.2
16.612.3
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End4.2
red by 8.5
9996
#11
9.90.1
12.913.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed