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Red118
214344.2
206225.1
582629.2
Blue80
638122.7
999418.4
957653.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9911705015020025011880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Coral scored#10
58Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
78Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
118Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.8
37.238.0
Auto11.4
Teleop25.9
End6.8
blue by 8.9
53.01.9
59.958.1
Auto8.4
Teleop36.6
End8.0
Second
5826
#15
29.20.8
33.834.6
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.4
red by 6.4
6381
#13
22.71.9
28.326.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Third
25.10.8
23.224.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.9
End1.8
red by 6.7
18.43.1
14.010.9
Auto3.0
Teleop13.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned